Friday, October 24, 2008

Forex Friday

Wow -- the dollar is in the middle of a really strong rally now. This is largely because -- despite all of our problems -- the dollar is still seen as a calm port in the storm.



On the weekly chart, notice the following:

-- All the SMAs are moving higher

-- The shorter SMAs are above the longer SMAs

-- Prices are above all the SMAs

-- Prices have continually moved through previously established resistance levels

-- Prices are using the SMAs as technical support

Bottom line: this is a bullish chart



On the daily chart, notice the following:

-- All the SMAs are moving higher

-- The shorter SMAs are above the longer SMAs

-- Prices are above all the SMAs

-- Prices have continually moved through previously established levels of resistance

Bottom line: this is a bullish chart.

3 comments:

Hardwinterwheat said...

U.S. dollar: the tallest midget in the room

Anonymous said...

I've heard from many quarters that the dollar's rally versus the Euro isn't particularly due to "flight to safety" action, but rather due to traders unwinding their interest rate-related carry trades. Consequently, we're seeing people move out of the Euro back into the USD and out of the USD into the Yen.

If the USD were really seen as a safe haven, it wouldn't command only 93 Yen.

Eric said...

I was hoping that you could do an article on the unprecedented drop in the dollar compared to the yen as well. The only thing that stopped the free fall earlier in the year was the consumer check the government handed out... do they really think that will work again?