Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Wednesday Commodities Round-Up



Click for a larger image

Notice the following on the weekly chart:

-- Prices are at or near their lowest level in three years

-- All the SMAs are moving lower

-- The shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs

-- Prices are below all the SMAs

BUT

-- The RSI is oversold, and

-- The MACD is oversold



Notice the following on the daily chart:

-- All the SMAs are moving lower

-- The shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs

-- Prices are below all the SMAs

-- Prices have been dropping for nearly 5 months

BUT

-- The MACD is rising and

-- the RSI is bordering on oversold territory

Bottom line: The market is technically oversold and wants to rally

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

A more fundamentalist point of view; Jimmy Rogers notes that credit and cash shortages such as no loans to farmers and mine owners are creating a supply shortage which will lead to increase in prices

NCJim said...

Bonddad,

BTW I've been a fan for a long time.

I have this idea that I have been kicking around that I would like to share with you.

I believe a carbon tax is a good way to bring to light the "hidden" economic costs of carbon dioxide pollution and to use a "capitalistic" philosophy for a larger good. However, new taxes are often a political non-starter.

What I propose is a "carbon rebate" where all of the revenues from the carbon tax are returned to the American people as a quarterly per capita check.

Better yet pay it forward by estimating the revenues and rebating the money before it is collected. This would provide an economic stimulus and a means for individuals to pay for the increased costs.

Please let me know what you think.

Jim Bartow
hangum333@yahoo.com