Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Retail Sales Drop

From Bloomberg:

Purchases at U.S. retailers declined last week as post-Christmas markdowns failed to overcome what may have been the worst holiday shopping season in four decades.

Sales at stores open at least a year dropped 0.8 percent in the seven days through Jan. 3, the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said today in a statement. ICSC Chief Economist Michael Niemira said November- December sales declined as much as 2 percent.

Macy’s Inc., Talbots Inc., Aeropostale Inc. and other retailers offered discounts of 65 percent or more on some sweaters, jewelry and pants to clear out merchandise after Christmas. Higher markdowns may put more pressure on earnings.

“December was relatively chaotic in price, with more discounts than retailers planned, especially in department stores,” Richard Hastings, a consumer strategist at Global Hunter Securities LLC of Newport Beach, California, said in a telephone interview. “Consumers have discovered that the industry is responding with lower and lower and lower prices.”


This shouldn't be a surprise to anyone; the economy is in a recession after all.

But the charts of the actual sales data are downright scary.



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Above is a graph of real retail sales. Note the cliff diving that is now occurring.

And then there is the year over year change in retail sales:



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That's one hell of a drop

It makes you wonder why



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the retail stock sector is rebounding along with the



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specialty retail sector.